Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AKT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 1.629555 1.880798 2.152215 2.466512 2.819702 3.203590 3.651648
2024-10-27 1.241965 1.589882 1.999169 2.512909 3.136949 3.866634 4.780327
2024-11-03 0.975167 1.370039 1.870961 2.545109 3.419630 4.505820 5.945620
2024-11-10 0.776690 1.187932 1.746313 2.545462 3.642776 5.077340 7.071548
2024-11-17 0.619832 1.026488 1.614449 2.504232 3.789490 5.546994 8.092706
2024-11-24 0.498275 0.889825 1.490283 2.446909 3.893654 5.953027 9.046256
2024-12-01 0.420159 0.803925 1.424640 2.459851 4.089824 6.492156 10.214564
2024-12-08 0.351900 0.720244 1.347460 2.440097 4.226864 6.946768 11.283633
2024-12-15 0.310659 0.675524 1.325903 2.503054 4.492275 7.605533 12.692022
2024-12-22 0.268017 0.619677 1.275962 2.509675 4.662644 8.124146 13.913910
2024-12-29 0.246407 0.600811 1.288788 2.624320 5.018804 8.955901 15.670212
2025-01-05 0.223747 0.575357 1.285098 2.707035 5.324302 9.721848 17.362331
2025-01-12 0.191222 0.523579 1.225805 2.684940 5.452697 10.218817 18.675505
2025-01-19 0.170520 0.494683 1.208708 2.741928 5.729337 10.986859 20.489452
2025-01-26 0.150873 0.464134 1.183621 2.779871 5.973413 11.714536 22.279238
2025-02-02 0.131262 0.429171 1.143464 2.781707 6.147731 12.329023 23.908634
2025-02-09 0.111565 0.389109 1.085260 2.737834 6.227472 12.776250 25.268309
2025-02-16 0.093906 0.350069 1.022810 2.676198 6.264200 13.143780 26.502828
2025-02-23 0.082723 0.327263 0.996060 2.690310 6.454889 13.807515 28.304276
2025-03-02 0.071463 0.301072 0.956274 2.669023 6.568251 14.328761 29.868333
2025-03-09 0.065339 0.290155 0.954659 2.737070 6.875936 15.240057 32.198460
2025-03-16 0.057653 0.271623 0.929307 2.744234 7.050779 15.899433 34.084237
2025-03-23 0.054694 0.269592 0.949991 2.868058 7.493362 17.114754 37.086014